Hexaware Technologies :Riding High! --nirmal bang,

Riding High!
Hexaware Technologies Limited (HTL) is a mid-sized IT company mainly catering to the capital markets (BFSI) and the airline (transportation) sector. It also focuses on enterprise software provided by PeopleSoft and Oracle. Recent large client wins has bought back the focus on this company which has good expertise in the niche areas. 


Investment Rationale

 Improved Revenue visibility due to large wins in the past 5 quarters

The deal wins of over $ 625 mn which HTL has gained in the past 5 quarters is commendable. HTL’s efforts of mining the existing clients in the gloomy days are paying off now reflecting in the incremental revenue streams it has earned. These long term deals give enough revenue visibility for CY12. In addition, HTL is negotiating almost 4 deals above $25mn which are in the pipeline.

 Margins moving northwards – room for further heights
EBIDTA margins have improved 812 basis points in the past 5 quarters led by drastic control in the operating costs. The company has in addition utilized its offshorablity lever in its advantage by moving almost 14% of work offshore during the same period. Currently, onsite: offshore mix stands at 53:47, utilization in early 70’s and plans to hire freshers would further aid the margins going forward. We expect HTL to report EBIDTA margins of 20% + in CY12E and CY13E.

 Proficiency in niche segments paying off
HTL earns 60% of its revenues from the Capital Markets and Travels industries and almost 30% of revenues come from enterprise solutions in terms of its service lines. In enterprise solutions, 60-65% of its revenues are from PeopleSoft where other software vendor’s focus is less.

 Guidance Revision of 20% on USD revenues for CY12E

On the back of good deals won recently, the company has revised the revenue guidance in USD terms to 20%. We feel this is a little conservative and the company can easily beat the guidance for CY12E.
Valuation & Recommendation

We expect HTL’s revenues to grow at a CAGR of 25% and adjusted profits to grow at a CAGR of 21% over CY11-CY13E. Margin improvement would remain under focus and we expect HTL’s EBIDTA margins improving by 313bps to 21.2% in CY13E from 18.03% in CY11. At CMP, the stock is trading at 10.4x and 8.6x for CY12E and CY13E respectively. On the back of improved financials and good revenue visibility, we recommend a BUY on the stock, assigning a target multiple of 11x for CY13E EPS with a price target of Rs. 147 which is a potential 28% upside.

Risks to our Rationale:

 Concentration in Discretion spending Revenues
Hexaware derives more than 50% of its revenues from Enterprise solutions and Business Intelligence and Analytics which could get affected in economic downturn. However, the recent deal wins re-affirms the revenue visibility for the company for CY12E.

 Industry Risks of wage pressures, rupee appreciation and competition
Rupee depreciation has acted in favor of the company and Industry per say. Any severe reversal of the rupee trend would affect the prospects of the firm.

 Exposure in the European Region
The company has 28.4% exposure in the European region and few of the major deals have been signed with clients in this region. Looking at the current economic scenario prevailing in the Euro zone, any delay in commencement of these deals or cancellation may impact the margins severely.

Valuation & Recommendation
We expect HTL’s revenues to grow at a CAGR of 25% and adjusted profits to grow at a CAGR of 21% over CY11-CY13E. Margin improvement would remain under focus and we expect HTL’s EBIDTA margins improving by 313bps to 21.2% in CY13E from 18.03% in CY11. At CMP, the stock is trading at 10.4x and 8.6x for CY12E and CY13E respectively. On the back of improved financials and good revenue visibility, we recommend a BUY on the stock, assigning a target multiple of 11x for CY13E EPS with a price target of Rs. 147 which is a potential 28% upside.